Deaths

Prevention policies that reduce disease incidence or fatality rate prevent deaths in the short-term, however, it is important to remember that these deaths are not indefinitely averted. It is more suitable to consider public health interventions as prolonging lifespans, rather than preventing death altogether.

In both business and usual (BAU) and intervention scenarios, the simulation continues until all individuals die. Sometimes death occurs due to affliction of a particular disease, and other times due to an individual exceeding the maximum allowable age in the model (110 years). Given that BAU and intervention scenarios commence with an identical starting population, the total number of deaths recorded within either scenario is also identical. This is why you observe '0 deaths averted' for all interventions specified on the HIIC.